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UDC 004.725
Salam A. Najim1,
Zakaria A. M. Al-Omari2 and Samir M. Said1
1
Faculty of Faculty of Engineering, Al Ahliyya Amman
University,
Post Code (19328), Amman, Jordan
{drsalam,drsamir}@ammanu.edu.jo
2 Faculty of Faculty of Engineering, Al
Ahliyya Amman University,
Post Code (19328), Amman, Jordan
alomariz2007@yahoo.com
Abstract.
In this paper, we propose a neural network approach
to forecast AM/PM Jordan electric power load curves
based on several parameters (temperature, date and
the status of the day). The proposed method has an
advantage of dealing with not only the nonlinear
part of load curve but also with rapid temperature
change of forecasted day, weekend and special day
features. The proposed neural network is used to
modify the load curve of a similar day by using the
previous information. The suitability of the
proposed approach is illustrated through an
application to actual load data of Electric Power
Company in Jordan. The results show an acceptable
prediction for Short-Term Electrical Load
Forecasting (STELF), with maximum regression factor
90%. |